Here’s a little food for thought.
Part of the conventional wisdom today is that gay marriage was a huge weapon that allowed Bush to win the Presidency. That seems to be implied (along with abortion) by the huge “moral values” heading that was important to so many voters.
I’m not sure that’s true. First, the gay marriage issue wasn’t even a miniscule part of the Bush campaign. He didn’t mention it unless asked in any of the debates. It wasn’t a big part of any of his campaign speeches. It wasn’t something his campaing mailed out as part of their literature. It was pretty much non-existent as an issue for him.
It would seem sensible to me that if the President had made a big deal of gay marriage that it would have impacted the gay vote. But it didn’t. In fact, the same percentage of gay voters approved of Bush in this election as they did in 2004.
I think the conventional wisdom is wrong on this one.